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Old 04-29-2019, 04:14 AM   Nav to Top  #91
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Finland Consumer Confidence Slows In April



Finland's consumer confidence slowed in April after rising in the previous month, survey data from Statistics Finland showed on Monday.

The consumer confidence index rose to 15.7 from 16.1 in March. The reading remained above its long-term average of 12.7.

The survey was conducted among 1,143 persons in Finland between April 1 and 17.

Among the four sub-indexes, only consumers' expectations concerning Finland's economy improved slightly in April. Households' personal finance expectations eased, while they were less pessimistic regarding the situation in Finland's economy.

Elsewhere, survey data from the Confederation of Finnish Industries showed that the manufacturing confidence index dropped to -1 in April from 1 in March.

Morale deteriorated in construction, while it improved in services and retail trade.
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Old 04-30-2019, 12:44 AM   Nav to Top  #92
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South Korea Industrial Production Gains 1.4% On Month In March



Industrial output in South Korea climbed a seasonally adjusted 1.4 percent on month in March, Statistics Korea said on Tuesday - rebounding from the 3.4 percent contraction in February.

On a yearly basis, industrial was down 2.8 percent following the 3.4 percent annual slide in the previous month.

The index of all industry production was up 1.1 percent on month and down 0.7 percent on year. In February, the index was down 2.6 percent on month and 1.9 percent on year.

The Manufacturing Production Index increased 1.5 percent on month but fell 2.9 percent on year. The Manufacturing Shipment Index gained 2.5 percent on month but fell 1.5 percent on year. The Manufacturing Inventory Index shed 0.6 percent on month but climbed 4.6 percent on year.

The Production Capacity Index added 0.2 percent on month but fell 0.5 percent on year. The Index of Capacity Utilization Rate climbed 1.4 percent on month but lost 2.5 percent on year.

The Manufacturing Average Capacity Utilization Rate in March marked 71.5 percent, which increased by 1.0 percentage points from the previous month. The Index of Services added 0.2 percent from the previous month and 0.6 percent on year.

The Retail Sales Index jumped 3.3 percent on month and 2.4 percent on year. The Equipment Investment Index jumped 10.0 percent on month but tumbled 15.5 percent on year.

The Domestic Machinery Shipment Index in March dropped 15.2 percent on year. The value of Domestic Machinery Orders Received fell 6.7 percent on year.

The value of construction completed at constant prices increased 8.9 percent on month but lost 2.9 percent on year. The value of construction orders received at current prices surged 18.7 percent on year.

The Composite Coincident Index in March added 0.1 percent from the previous month. The Cyclical Component of Composite Coincident Index, which reflects current economic situations, eased 0.1 points from the previous month.

The Composite Leading Index in March gained 0.2 percent on month. The Cyclical Component of Composite Leading Index, which predicts the turning point in business cycle, eased 0.1 points on month.

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Old 05-01-2019, 09:57 PM   Nav to Top  #93
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Rising oil prices pose a problem for the global economy - Morgan Stanley



According to analysts of the largest bank Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, the markets underestimate the risks associated with rising oil prices. Investors are careless over this fact, although they should purchase low-cost energy stocks to hedge their portfolios so as not to lose.

At the beginning of this week, the situation on the stock markets developed favorably, which is why investors have lost their vigilance, bank experts say. On Monday, April 29, the S&P 500 index updated its record high. The main catalyst for its growth were US data. By the end of March 2019, consumer spending in America rose substantially, and the base rate of inflation, which the Fed carefully monitors, fell to an annual low. This can affect the decision of the regulator about the interest rate, analysts believe. The positive dynamics of the S&P 500 index suggests that investors are satisfied with oil prices, which is not very good, Morgan Stanley believes.

Experts advise market participants not to rest on their laurels, noting that the current rise in oil prices could be a problem for the global economy. If the cost of oil remains at the current level until the end of this year, the consumer price index may exceed 3%, creating a problem for the Fed. At the same time, the purchasing power of the population will significantly decrease, putting pressure on corporate profits and slowing economic growth in China and in emerging markets, Morgan Stanley believes.

Recall that the prices of Brent and WTI crude oil have recently reached their highest level in the last six months. On Tuesday, April 30, Brent crude rose by 1.10% to $ 72.74 per barrel. According to experts, the price of black gold will remain high or continue to grow, if OPEC and its allies extend the term of the agreement on the restriction of raw materials supply. It is possible that a decision will be taken at the next meeting in June of this year.

In the current situation, bank analysts recommend buying cheap oil stocks to hedge their portfolio, especially if so-called "growth stocks" prevail. These include papers purchased for the cyclical recovery of the economy. This will help lower the risks in the future, according to Morgan Stanley.

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Old 05-03-2019, 02:43 AM   Nav to Top  #94
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Franc Falls Ahead Of Swiss CPI



At 2:30 am ET Friday, Swiss CPI for April is due. Ahead of the data, the franc dropped against its major counterparts.

The franc was worth 109.28 against the yen, 1.0202 against the greenback, 1.1394 against the euro and 1.3295 against the pound at 2:25 am ET.
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Old 05-06-2019, 03:46 AM   Nav to Top  #95
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Sweden Services Growth Slows For Second Month



Sweden's services sector growth slowed for a second month in a row in April, but has stabilized in recent months, suggesting a bottom in the cycle, survey results from the Swedbank and the logistics business lobby Silf showed on Monday.

The Purchasing Managers Index, or PMI, for the services sector fell to 54 from 55.1 in March. A reading above 50 suggests growth in the sector.

The next few months will be decisive to determine the direction of the services cycle, Jorgen Kennemar, the economist responsible for analysis for PMI at Swedbank, said.

Overall private sector growth also slowed for the second consecutive month with the Composite PMI falling to 53.2 in April from 54.4 in March.

That means weaker activity in the business sector, but also suggests a stabilization, Kennemar said.
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Old 05-07-2019, 01:01 AM   Nav to Top  #96
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Aussie Steady Ahead Of RBA Decision



At 12:30 am ET Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia announces its decision on interest rates. The RBA is widely expected to cut its benchmark lending rate by 25 bps to 1.25 percent.

Ahead of the announcement, the aussie held steady against its major rivals.

The aussie was worth 77.44 against the yen, 1.6012 against the euro, 0.6999 against the greenback and 1.0592 against the kiwi as of 12:25 am ET.

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Old 05-07-2019, 10:11 PM   Nav to Top  #97
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What was Trump really up to?



It's no secret that Donald Trump likes to intimidate the markets; this is his favorite weapon. It is equally safe to say that all these threats cannot be taken at face value. If Washington actually introduces new duties, which Trump tweeted, then the tariff barrier between the US and China will be higher than in many developing countries.

All these emotional outbursts are more like a continuation of the game "who blinks first," rather than a change in the course of trade negotiations. In this case, a logical question arises: what did Trump actually plan?

There are suggestions that China has nothing to do with it, and Trump's tweets are part of a certain president's game with the Fed. Earlier, the pressure was on the central bank to strengthen the position of the economy, which could bear the consequences of a trade war without complications. Perhaps now Trump is trying to drive the Fed into a corner. If trade uncertainty exists, the regulator will be forced to lower rates and ensure an economic boom before the 2020 elections. By the way, expectations for a reduction in the rate have now increased, whereas a few days ago they were declining.

It is unlikely that the head of the White House plays a strategic game, but in general, events confirm this. In addition, he has to reckon with what is happening in the foreign exchange market. The Chinese yuan, most of the post-crisis era, became cheaper following the slow growth of the country's economy. Companies that are subject to Chinese risk lagged behind other stocks, the exchange rate increased the competitiveness of the state. That all changed a little over a year ago, in part because of concerns about a trade dispute with the United States. On Monday, Chinese stocks plummeted, and the yuan fell to its lowest level in more than three years.

The authorities of China continue to carefully monitor the national currency, so it will not be easy for Donald Trump to increase the competitiveness of the US economy. More precisely – it is impossible. We need the Fed to lower the rate.

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Old 05-08-2019, 11:09 PM   Nav to Top  #98
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Dollar Up Slightly As Trade War Concerns Linger



The U.S. dollar was mostly subdued slightly above the unchanged line on Wednesday with traders weighing political and economic news from across the globe for direction.

The ongoing trade spat between the U.S. and China threatens to significantly impact global economic growth.

Earlier this week, the markets were reacting to news that the U.S. administration will hike tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to 25% from the existing 10% from this Friday.

U.S. President Donald Trump noted in a post on Twitter that Chinese Vice Premier Liu He will be a part of the talks, claiming the high-ranking official is "coming to the U.S. to make a deal."

"We'll see, but I am very happy with over $100 Billion a year in Tariffs filling U.S. coffers...great for U.S., not good for China!" Trump tweeted.

Trump also claimed China is attempting to renegotiate terms of a trade deal in order to strike a new deal with a Democratic president that continues to rip off the U.S.

The U.S. dollar index, which 97.68, was last seen hovering around 97.60, up 0.06% from previous close.

Against the Euro, the dollar was $1.1192, after moving between $1.1183 and $1.1215.

The British Pound Sterling weakened to $1.3009, losing more than 0.5% against the dollar.

The Chinese yuan was down 0.2% against the greenback, extending losses to a third straight day, due to rising concerns over U.S.-China trade war.

The Aussie and loonie were lower by 0.37% and 0.04%, respectively, against the greenback. The Swiss franc was down as well, with the dollar-franc pair trading at 1.0208.

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Old 05-09-2019, 10:55 PM   Nav to Top  #99
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U.S. Wholesale Inventories Unexpectedly Edge Lower In March



A report released by the Commerce Department on Thursday unexpectedly showed a modest decrease in U.S. wholesale inventories in the month of March.

The Commerce Department said wholesale inventories edged down by 0.1 percent in March after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.4 percent in February. Economists had expected inventories to come in unchanged.

The slight drop in wholesale inventories came as inventories of non-durable goods slid by 0.6 percent amid a sharp pullback in inventories of drugs.

On the other hand, the report said inventories of durable goods rose by 0.3 percent, reflecting notable increases in inventories of machinery and metals.

The Commerce Department also said wholesale sales surged up by 2.3 percent in March after rising by 0.3 percent in February.

Sales of durable goods jumped by 1.4 percent amid sharp increases in sales of electrical equipment and miscellaneous durable goods.

A spike in sales of petroleum products also contributed to a 3.1 percent leap in sales of non-durable goods.

With inventories falling and sales soaring, the inventories/sales ratio for merchant wholesalers dropped to 1.32 in March from 1.35 in February.

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Old 05-14-2019, 12:56 AM   Nav to Top  #100
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Japan Has 2,847.9 Billion Current Account Surp



Japan posted a current account surplus of 2,847.9 billion yen in March, the Ministry of Finance said on Tuesday - down 10.6 percent on year.

That missed forecasts for a surplus of 3,007.2 billion but was still up from 2,676.8 billion in February.

The trade balance showed a surplus of 700.1 billion yen, also missing expectations for 838.9 billion yen and up from 489.2 billion yen in the previous month.

Exports fell 5.2 percent on year to 7.058 trillion yen, while imports added an annual 1.5 percent to 6.358 trillion yen.

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