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Old 01-31-2012, 03:53 AM   Nav to Top  #1
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Default Daily Forex Market by FXCC 31Jan2012

Daily Forex Market by FXCC 31Jan2012

MARKET OVERVIEW – JANUARY 31 2012
Futures traders increase net shorts on the euro-dollar
The yen appreciated by 1% to 100.34 per euro by 5 p.m. New York time on Monday evening having earlier touched 99.99, the lowest level witnessed since Jan. 23. The Japanese currency strengthened 0.5 percent to 76.35 per dollar, reaching 76.22. Traders will recall that the yen touched 75.35 yen on Oct. 31st, this set a post World War II record low. After falling below 76.50 and reaching a 3-month low at 76.20, USD/JPY was unable to bounce above the 76.30 level and has been trading trapped in a tight range between 76.25 and 76.30. Price is currently printing at circa 76.30. The euro declined 0.1 percent to 1.20528 Swiss francs after sliding to 1.20405, the weakest level seen since Sept. 19th. The EUR/CHF did then recover after hitting the 4-month low. The Euro rose up after reaching its lowest level in 4 months versus the Franc, climbing back above the 1.2050 level as investors awaited positive news from the EU summit. After gaining ground for ten successive days, GBP/USD finally managed to end it's secular bullish run trading in New York at 1.5707 on Monday where it remains in consolidation, having lost a moderate 0.13% on the day.
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UPCOMING EVENTS
2012-01-31 00:01 GMT | United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence (Jan)
2012-01-31 07:00 GMT | Germany Retail Sales (YoY) (Dec)
2012-01-31 08:55 GMT | Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. (Jan)
2012-01-31 10:00 GMT | European Monetary Union Unemployment Rate (Dec)

FOREX NEWS
2012-01-31 05:02 GMT | Japan Dec Housing Starts (YoY) -7.3%
2012-01-31 00:31 GMT | Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence increase to 3 in Dec.
2012-01-31 00:04 GMT | Japan: Industrial production flat, 2.5% increase predicted in January
2012-01-31 00:02 GMT | UK - Jan Gfk Consumer Confidence rises to -29

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EURUSD 1.31764 / 1.31769
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
High: 1.31985 | Low: 1.31334 | Chg: 0.0034 0.25%



Resistance Levels : 1.3347 | 1.3313 | 1.3275 | 1.3234
Support Levels : 1.3133 | 1.3075 | 1.3024 | 1.2962

SUMMARY : up
TREND : up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : bullish
STOCHASTIC : overbought


MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

The EURUSD moved upwards and managed to stay above yesterday’s support 1.3075 (S2) and now it is moving towards 1.3234 (R1). A break above that level, we are suggesting a further rise towards 1.3275 (R2) and then 1.3313 (R3). On the other hand, if the price manages to hold below 1.3234 (R1) then we can expect retest of 1.3133 (S1) and then we will focus on 1.3075 (R2).

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GBPUSD 1.57359 / 1.57368
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
High: 1.57423 | Low: 1.56979 | Chg: 0.0026 0.17%



Resistance Levels : 1.5879 | 1.5845 | 1.5813 | 1.5742
Support Levels : 1.5658 | 1.5626 | 1.5579 | 1.5535

SUMMARY : up
TREND : up trend
MA10 : Bullish
MA20 : bullish
STOCHASTIC : Overbought


MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

GBPUSD found a strong support at 1.5658 (S1) level and this morning the price formed a top at 1.5742.Now it seems to be heading towards level 1.5742 (R1). A break above that level would suggest a target of 1.5813 (R2) and a further rise will then focus on the next target at 1.5845 (R3). On the downside, if the price rebounds from the first resistance level we can expect retesting of 1.5658 (S1), a technical and psychological level. A further decline will then bring focus to the next support level at 1.5626 (S2).

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USDJPY 76.322 / 76.327
DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY
High: 76.413 | Low: 76.175 | Chg: -0.009 -0.01%



Resistance Levels : 78.28 | 77.55 | 76.89 | 76.42
Support Levels : 75.45 | 75.06 | 74.63 | 74.16

SUMMARY : Down
TREND : down trend
MA10 : bearish
MA20 : Bearish
STOCHASTIC : neutral


MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

USDJPY lost momentum yesterday and it is moving downwards towards our support levels. (R1). A break below 76.00 level will give us a proper confirmation for short positions targeting 75.45 (S1) and 75.06 (S2), as we expect the pair to continue its downwards pressure. A stop loss should be placed above 76.89 (S1).

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd, (http://www.fxcc.com)
URL: https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/31012012
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