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Old 02-08-2019, 06:34 AM   Nav to Top  #151
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Date : 8th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 8th February 2019.




FX News Today

* 10-year Treasury yields are down -1.1 bp and JGB yields dropped -1.7 bp to -0.038% as Asian stocks tumbled on growth concerns and pessimism on US-Sino relations, with markets worrying that there won’t be a trade deal in time to prevent another round of tariff hikes.

* Asked whether he would meet Chinese President Xi Jinping before the March 1 deadline US President Trump said “No”, before adding “unlikely”, although he suggested they would “maybe” meet later.

* Topix and Nikkei lost -1.86% and -1.96% respectively today. The Hang Seng fell back -0.215, after returning from holiday, while mainland China markets remained closed.

* The ASX is down after the RBA slashed its growth projection to 2.5% from 3.25% with its quarterly statement on monetary policy today. The CPI forecast was cut to 1.25%.

* Growth warnings in Europe yesterday saw European and US markets closing with broad losses. The negative growth backdrop and heightened risk aversion is keeping bond markets supported.

* Oil prices fell back to USD 52.26 per barrel.

* Fed’s Bullard promotes caution on balance sheet unwind. He declined to say how close the Fed is to ending balance sheet unwind process but said “We are closer than I thought we were a year ago”.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* Russia Interest Rate Decision – No surprises are expected from the Russian Central Bank which is expected to keep its interest rate at 7.75%.

* Canada Labour Market Data – Canadian data are expected to show a slight deterioration in the economy in January, as net change in employment is forecast to be lower than December while the unemployment rate is forecast to have grown to 5.7%, compared to 5.6% in December.

Support and Resistance Levels



Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Old 02-11-2019, 04:28 AM   Nav to Top  #152
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Date : 11th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 11th February 2019.




FX News Today

* Stocks in Asia traded mixed, amid lingering concerns over US-Sino trade relations and doubt whether the talks will bring sufficient progress to prevent another round of punitive tariffs.

* Chinese equities rallied after returning from last week’s holiday, with small caps and stocks in the tech hub of Shenzhen rallying. The Hang Seng was up 0.46% as of 6:30GMT the CSI 300 up 1.62% and Shanghai and Shenzen Comp climbed 1.18% and 2.58% respectively.

* Japanese markets were closed for a holiday, so Treasury futures won’t trade either until Europe opens.

* Elsewhere in Asia bonds traded mixed with Australia outperforming as the ASX underperformed and dropped -0.17%.

* Chinese Vice Premier Liu He will meet Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Trade Representative Lightizer in Beijing for high level talks this week.

* Meanwhile the government in Washington may be heading for another shutdown, which is adding to caution in wider markets.

* US futures are slightly in the red, while European futures moved slightly higher. The front end WTI future is trading at USD 52.22 per barrel.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* Swiss CPI – The inflation rate in Switzerland is expected to have stood at 0.6% y/y in January, down from 0.7% y/y in December.

* UK GDP and Production Data – UK GDP is expected to have stood at 1.4% y/y in the final quarter of 2018, compared to 1.5% y/y growth in Q3. Manufacturing production is expected to have declined by 0.7% y/y, compared to a decline of 1.1% y/y in November. Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.2% m/m, compared to a decline of 0.4% in November.

* US Unit Labour Cost – US Unit Labour Cost growth are expected to have stood at 1.7% in 2018Q4, compared to 0.9% in the third quarter.

Support and Resistance Levels



Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Old 02-12-2019, 03:45 AM   Nav to Top  #153
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Date : 12th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th February 2019.




FX News Today

* Stock markets remain supported by improving risk appetite, with investors hoping for progress in US-Sino trade talks.

* Japanese markets outperformed in catch up trade on returning from yesterday’s holiday and underpinned by a weaker yen.

* US lawmakers have reached an “agreement in principle” on funding for border security that would stop a second government shutdown on Friday.

* Brexit concerns continue to linger.

* Comments from ECB’s Lane, has underpinned speculation that Draghi will rule out another rate hike this year amid the expected downward revisions to growth forecasts.

* The front end WTI future is trading at USD 52.55 per barrel.3

* EURUSD went sub-1.1300 for first time in 6 weeks on generally firmer dollar.

* USDJPY rallied to 6-wk high of 110.64, underpinned by rally in global stocks.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* German President Weidmann speech – German President Weidmann is due to deliver a speech titled “The role of the central bank in a modern economy – a European perspective” at the University of South Africa, in Pretoria.

* BoE Carney speech – Due to speak about the economic outlook and global trade tensions, in London.

* Fed Chair Powell speech – Due to deliver a speech titled “Economic Development in High Poverty Rural Communities” at the Hope Enterprise Corporation Rural Policy Forum, in Mississippi.

* Fed Mester and George speech – Cleveland Fed hawk Mester will update the economic outlook and policy, while KC Fed hawk George will discuss “Charting America’s Economic Course.” Though both have been two of the most hawkish on the FOMC, each has recently indicated a pause is in order currently.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Old 02-13-2019, 04:47 AM   Nav to Top  #154
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Date : 13th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 13th February 2019.




FX News Today

* 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.5 bp at 2.693% and JGB yields lifted 1.2 bp to -0.0013%.

* Stocks were supported by trade talk hopes as US President Donald Trump’s suggestion that he could see letting the March 1 deadline on China tariffs slide a little if the two sides were close to a complete deal helped to underpin sentiment.

* The negative sentiment that dominated much of the last months of 2018 continues to unwind, but markets will ultimately have to see permanent solutions and real results, otherwise they remain at risk of sliding back again.

* For now though markets are mostly in a positive mood and while the ASX closed with a loss of -0.26%, Topix and Nikkei rallied 1.06% and 1.34% respectively. The Hang Seng is up 1.21%, China’s blue chip index CSI is up 2.1% and the Shanghai Composite 1.92%.

* US futures are equally moving higher, as are European futures.

* Oil prices have also come back from the lows seen early in the week and the front end WTI future is trading at USD 53.64 per barrel.

* The calendar today has inflation releases for the UK and the US, with the Riksbank meeting not expected to post any surprises.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* Swiss CPI – The inflation rate in Switzerland is expected to have stood at 0.6% y/y in January, down from 0.7% y/y in December.

* UK Price Indices – The UK’s Price Indices are expected to continue close to their December levels, however at mixed outcomes. The Retail Price Index is expected to stand at 2.6% y/y compared to 2.7% last month, the PPI to increase to 3.8% y/y compared to 3.7%, while the CPI is expected to have stood at 1.9% compared to 2.1% in December.

* EU Industrial Production – Industrial production in the European Union is expected to continue its decline albeit at a slower pace, with a reduction of 0.4% m/m expected in the December data, compared to a 1.7% reduction in November.

* US CPI Inflation – Inflation is expected to have declined in the US, in association with the prevailing understanding of a slowdown in the economy, with the CPI expected to have increased by 1.5% y/y, compared to 1.9% y/y in December. Core CPI is expected to have increased by 2.1% y/y compared to 2.2%.

Support and Resistance Levels



Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Old 02-14-2019, 05:22 AM   Nav to Top  #155
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Date : 14th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 14th February 2019.




FX News Today

* 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.2 bp at 2.704% and JGB yields fell back -0.8 bp to -0.025% as the rally on stock markets faded.

* Wall Street still closed with slight gains, but there wasn’t enough momentum to sustain a further broad move higher in Asia.

* Topix and Nikkei closed little changed and the Hang Seng is down -0.26% while CSI 300 and Shanghai Comp are up 0.33% and 0.13% respectively, after Chinese data showed a rebound in exports at the start of the year.

* The tech hub of Shenzhen outperformed with a gain of 0.93%, but the ASX closed with a marginal loss.

* US futures as well as European futures are moving higher though, so there is still some life in markets after reports that the US is considering delaying China tariffs for 60 days. President Trump had already told reporters that trade talks are making good progress.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* EU GDP – The common currency’s GDP is expected to have grown by 1.2% y/y in the final quarter of the year, the same growth rate recorded in Q3.

* US Retail Sales – One of the most important indicators of consumption, Retail Sales ex Autos are expected to have grown by 0.1% m/m in December, compared to 0.2% m/m in November.

* US PPI Inflation – In accordance with the slowdown picture in the US, PPI inflation is expected to have slowed to 2.5% y/y in January, compared to 2.7% y/y in December.

* US Jobless Claims – Continuing Jobless Claims are expected to have increased to 1.74M on the week ending at January 8, compared to 1.736M last week. Initial Jobless Claims are expected to have decreased to 225K compared to 234K the previous week.

* Brexit Vote –Theresa May has put a new motion before Parliament asking to allow her to continue negotiating, in order to seek changes to the backstop.

Support and Resistance Levels



Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Old 02-15-2019, 06:25 AM   Nav to Top  #156
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Date : 15th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 15th February 2019.




FX News Today

* USD under pressure from that weak data yesterday, as US retail sales mix has revived concerns about the global growth outlook and without tangible results, markets seem unwilling to invest any more in trade talk hopes.

* Euro slipped under 1.1300 (1.285), as Germany’s flirt with recession has also shifted the focus to flagging growth in Europe, which has its own trade dispute with the US.

* GBP pressured from another lost Brexit vote for the Government, moving under 1.2800.

* Overnight Chinese CPI and PPI both missed expectations and Japanese Industrial Production remained woeful. Gains in AUD (under 0.7100) and NZD (0.6825) were reduced.

* Stock markets closed narrowly mixed on Wall Street with the USA100 managing a slight gain, while USA30 and USA500 were pressured by disappointing Retail Sales.

* In Asia most markets headed south, with Chinese indices underperforming. CSI and Shanghai Comp had rallied in recent sessions on hopes that another round of punitive tariffs could be avoided and that Trump would push out the March 1 deadline to give talks more time to progress, but the blue chip CSI 300 lost 1.58% today and the Shanghai Comp lost 1.13%, while the tech hub of Shenzen outperformed slightly, but also declined by 0.27%. The JPY dropped to 110.28 while Topix and Nikkei closed with losses of 0.79% and 1.13% respectively and the Hang Seng declined by 1.86%.

* US futures are also broadly lower, suggesting a somber close to the week. Oil prices tested the USD 55 per barrel mark before returning to $55.54 per barrel.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* UK Retail Sales – Retail Sales ex-Fuel are expected to have increased in January, to 3.0% y/y, compared to 2.6% in December.

* US Industrial Production – Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.1% m/m in January, compared to 0.3% m/m in the previous month.

* Michigan Consumer Sentiment – Sentiment is expected to have rebounded as markets anticipate that the preliminary reading will see it increase from 91.2 in January to 93.0 in February.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Old 02-18-2019, 06:47 AM   Nav to Top  #157
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Date : 18th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 18th February 2019.




FX News Today

* Japanese bond yields increased, outperforming against most other bonds in Asia as stock markets rallied.

* Trade optimism, improving credit data out of China and better than expected machinery orders in Japan boosted risk appetite and Topix and Nikkei closed with gains of 1.6% and 1.8% respectively.

* The Hang Seng is up 1.7% as CSI 300 and Shanghai Comp have gained 2.9% and 2.4% respectively so far.

* US President Trump said over the weekend that talks were “very productive” and China’s President Xi Jinping said the latest round of meetings “achieved important progress in another step”, which fueled optimism that another round of punitive tariffs can be avoided.

* Improved credit data out of China meanwhile helped to calm concerns about growth prospects in the country.

* US futures are narrowly mixed and European stock markets marginally higher, so it remains to be seen whether the rally will be sustained.

* The front end WTI future is trading at USD 55.93 per barrel, after testing highs over USD 56.

* US markets are closed today and there was no trade in Treasuries.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* US Presidents’ Day – US Markets closed today for a public holiday.

Support and Resistance Levels



Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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Old 02-20-2019, 03:50 AM   Nav to Top  #158
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Date : 20th February 2019.

MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 20th February 2019.




FX News Today

* Bund yields lower in opening trade, Equity markets mostly higher in Asia.

* Stock markets in Asia remained underpinned by hopes of a US-Sino trade deal.

* Wall Street closed higher, helped by positive earnings at Walmart Inc. Fresh.

* President Trump meanwhile suggested that March 1 tariff deadline is not cast in stone, so there is hope that further tariffs can be avoided.

* Japan’s exports fell 8.4% in January, while imports declined 0.6% y/y. The contraction in exports seems consistent with escalating concern that Japan’s export sector will be dented this year by global trade frictions and the slowing in China’s economy.

* The Yuan lifted after a Bloomberg report saying the US was looking for a pledge from China that it will not devalue its yuan currency as part of the trade deal.

* USDJPY has climbed to 110.91 from 110.60, amid cautious risk-on theme

* WTI crude edged out fresh 3-month high of $56.77.

Charts of the Day



Main Macro Events Today

* Juncker and May meet for another round of crunch talks in Brussels today.

* EU Consumer Confidence – The overall Eurozone number Consumer Price Index (M/M) on course to be confirmed at 1.4% y/y.

* FOMC minutes – The focus turns on the FOMC minutes to the January 29, 30 policy meeting as we look to glean more information on the Fed’s pivot to a more dovish point of view, even as rates were left unchanged. We did get a glimpse from Chairman Powell’s press conference, where he noted tighter financial conditions, along with tame inflation. And he said the onus is on price pressures to force a rate move.

* Australian labour data – The unemployment rate is seen holding steady at 5.0%.

Support and Resistance Levels



Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

Click HERE to READ more Market news.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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