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Tilly’s (TLYS) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know


Tilly’s (TLYS) closed at $17.80 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.48% move from the prior day. The stock lagged the S&P 500′s daily gain of 2.12%. At the same time, the Dow added 2.13%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 2.64%.

Heading into today, shares of the clothing and accessories retailer had gained 6.24% over the past month, outpacing the Retail-Wholesale sector’s loss of 2.5% and the S&P 500′s loss of 4.4% in that time.

Wall Street will be looking for positivity from TLYS as it approaches its next earnings report date. This is expected to be November 28, 2018. On that day, TLYS is projected to report earnings of $0.23 per share, which would represent a year-over-year decline of 23.33%. Our most recent consensus estimate is calling for quarterly revenue of $149.55 million, down 2.14% from the year-ago period.

For the full year, our Zacks Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of $0.90 per share and revenue of $601.90 million, which would represent changes of +38.46% and +4.33%, respectively, from the prior year.

Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for TLYS. These recent revisions tend to reflect the evolving nature of short-term business trends. With this in mind, we can consider positive estimate revisions a sign of optimism about the company’s business outlook.

Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. To benefit from this, we have developed the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model which takes these estimate changes into account and provides an actionable rating system.

Ranging from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), the Zacks Rank system has a proven, outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks returning an average of +25% annually since 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 0.37% higher within the past month. TLYS is currently a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Looking at its valuation, TLYS is holding a Forward P/E ratio of 19.49. This valuation marks a premium compared to its industry’s average Forward P/E of 16.77.

Also, we should mention that TLYS has a PEG ratio of 1.95. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock’s expected earnings growth rate. The Retail – Apparel and Shoes industry currently had an average PEG ratio of 1.69 as of yesterday’s close.

The Retail – Apparel and Shoes industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 106, putting it in the top 41% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

You can find more information on all of these metrics, and much more, on Zacks.com.

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