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Can Arch Coal (ARCH) Keep the Earnings Streak Alive This Quarter?


Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider Arch Coal, Inc. ARCH, a firm in the Mining – Miscellaneous industry, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, ARCH has beaten estimates by at least 50% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, ARCH expected to post earnings of $1.69 per share, while it actually produced earnings of $2.54 per share, a beat of 50.3%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of $2.32 per share, when it actually delivered earnings of $4.12 per share, representing 77.6% positive surprise.

Arch Coal Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Arch Coal. In fact, the Earnings ESP for ARCH is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for ARCH, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of +4.51%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that ARCH has a great Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

When you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that ARCH could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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