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Is Hawaiian Holdings a Great Stock for Value Investors?

Zacks

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. HA stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.


On this front, Hawaiian Holdings has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 6.7, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 22x. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Hawaiian Holdings’ current PE level puts it below its midpoint over the past five years, with the number having risen rapidly over the past few months.

Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the broader industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 13.5. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that Hawaiian Holdings Hawaiian Holdings has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 8.4, which is tad higher than the current level. So it is fair to expect an increase in the company’s share price in the near term.

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, Hawaiian Holdings has a P/S ratio of about 0.8. This is a bit lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.5x right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.

If anything, HA is in the lower end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, suggesting some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Hawaiian Holdings currently has a Value Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Hawaiian Holdings a solid choice for value investors.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Hawaiian Holdings might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth Score of B and a Momentum Score of A. This gives HA a Zacks VGM score — or its overarching fundamental grade — of A. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been favorable. The current quarter has seen five estimates go higher in the past sixty days, while the full year estimate has seen six up in the same time period.

This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has risen by 6.9% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has inched upper by 1.6%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. Price and Consensus

The stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.

Bottom Line

Hawaiian Holdings is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Furthermore, a solid industry rank (among Top 29% of more than 250 industries) instills our confidence on the stock. In fact, over the past two years, the broader industry has clearly outperformed the market at large, as you can see below:

However, with a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

Zacks Editor-in-Chief Goes ""All In"" on This Stock

Full disclosure, Kevin Matras now has more of his own money in one particular stock than in any other. He believes in its short-term profit potential and also in its prospects to more than double by 2019. Today he reveals and explains his surprising move in a new Special Report.

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