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What Falling Estimates & Price Mean for Alaska Air Group (ALK)

Zacks

Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.

One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK, which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) further confirms weakness in ALK.

A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen nine estimates moving down in the past 30 days, compared with no upward revisions. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from $7.38 a share a month ago to its current level of $6.80.

Also, for the current quarter, Alaska Air Group has seen seven downward estimate revisions versus no revisions in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to $1 a share from $1.47 over the past 30 days.

The stock has also seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 22.4% in the past month.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price and Consensus

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price and Consensus | Alaska Air Group, Inc. Quote


So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.

If you are still interested in the Transportation – Airline industry, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock – International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. ICAGY. The stock currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and may be a better selection at this time. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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