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Will Cheniere Energy Partners (CQH) Surprise in Q2 Earnings?


Midstream partnership Cheniere Energy Partners LP Holdings LLC CQH is expected to release second-quarter 2017 results around Tuesday, Aug 8.

In each of the last four quarters, the partnership delivered an earnings surprise of 0.00%.

Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors to Consider This Quarter

Cheniere Energy Partners LP Holdings, by virtue of its 55.9% ownership in Cheniere Energy Partners LP CQP, primarily operates the Sabine Pass natural gas regasification and liquefaction facilities. Cheniere Energy Partners LP Holdings also operates Creole Trail Pipeline located in Louisiana. This solid asset base might help the partnership to earn sufficiently for its unitholders.

Moreover, the fate of the midstream player’s business is positively correlated with natural gas production. The output of the commodity in the U.S. has been booming owing to hydraulic fracturing (or fracking) and sophisticated horizontal drilling techniques. In fact, it has been an oversupplied market for the commodity over the past few quarters.

In other words, the business environment was favorable for the partnership as higher production of natural gas usually increases the need for regasification, liquefaction and transportation activities. Yet, we have to wait for the final earnings release to find out whether this increase in output translates into a positive surprise.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Cheniere Energy Partners LP Holdings will beat estimates this quarter. That is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) to be able to beat consensus estimates. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

That is not the case here as you will see below.

Zacks ESP: Both the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate are pegged at 2 cents, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0.00%.

Zacks Rank: Cheniere Energy Partners LP Holdings has a Zacks Rank #2. Though a Zacks Rank #2 increases the predictive power of ESP, the partnership’s ESP of 0.00% makes surprise prediction difficult.

We caution against Sell-rated stocks (Zacks Ranks #4 and 5) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Share Performance

Units of Cheniere Energy Partners LP Holdings have gained 18.1% year to date, significantly outperforming the industry's 5.7% growth.

Stocks to Consider

While earnings beat looks uncertain for Cheniere Energy Partners LP Holdings, here are some firms from the energy space you may want to consider on the basis of our model, which shows that they have the right combination of elements to post earnings beat this quarter:

Penn Virginia Corp. PVAC has an Earnings ESP of +8.20% and a Zacks Rank #3. The company is expected to release earnings results on Aug 8. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

C&J Energy Services Inc. CJ has an Earnings ESP of +100.00% and a Zacks Rank #3. The partnership is anticipated to release earnings on Aug 8.

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