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Should Value Investors Consider AEGON (AEG) Stock?

Zacks

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put AEGON N.V. AEG stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, AEGON has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 6.49, as you can see in the chart below:



This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 20.50. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, AEGON’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint of 8.18 over the past five years. Moreover, the current level stands well below the highs for the stock, indicating that it could be a great entry point.



Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks classified Finance sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 15.85. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.



We should also point out that AEGON has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 8.01, so it is fair to expect an increase in the company’s share price in the near future.

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, AEGON has a P/S ratio of about 0.33. This is way lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.18 right now. This clearly makes the stock undervalued from the P/S aspect too.



Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, AEGON currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘A’, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes AEGON a good choice for value investors.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though AEGON might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade and Momentum score of ‘F’, each. This gives AEG a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘D’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the full year consensus estimate has declined by 4.2% in the past two months. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Given this bearish trend, the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), which indicates why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.

Aegon NV Price and Consensus

Aegon NV Price and Consensus | Aegon NV Quote


Bottom Line

AEGON is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (Bottom 20% out of over 250 Zacks industries) and a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. Nevertheless, the Zacks categorized Insurance – Multi Line industry has clearly outperformed the broader market over the past one year. We believe that if this trend continues, then the stock could be up for a revival.



So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

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