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Vipshop Holdings (VIPS) Q4 Earnings: What’s in the Cards?


Vipshop Holdings Limited VIPS is set to report fourth-quarter 2016 results on Feb 20, after the market closes. Last quarter, this China-based online lifestyle product retailer posted in-line earnings.

The question lingering in investors’ minds now is, whether Vipshop Holdings will be able to post positive earnings surprise in the quarter to be reported. The company has delivered negative surprises in three of the trailing four quarters with in-line results in one. This translates to an average negative surprise of 4.92%. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter is 17 cents, reflecting a year-over-year gain of over 6.25%. Analysts polled by Zacks expect revenue of $2.69 billion, up about 25.5% from the year-ago quarter.

Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors at Play

We note that the company has been delivering improved top-line results since the past few quarters amid a difficult macro-economic environment. The addition of new customers as well as younger and more Internet and mobile-savvy shoppers to its customer base has fueled revenues.

Vipshop Holdings Limited Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Vipshop Holdings Limited Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise | Vipshop Holdings Limited Quote

Vipshop Holdings now expects to target these expanding demographics and offer products to various age groups shoppers. Further, the company will focus on delivering more personalized products and services to its customers.

However, the discounts offered by the company are expected to adversely impact margins. Further, the ongoing macroeconomic slowdown in China and increasing competition in the retail space remain woes.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Vipshop Holdings is likely to beat earnings this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1, 2 or 3 for this to happen. That is not the case here as you will see below.

Zacks ESP: Earnings ESP for Vipshop Holdings is 0.00% as both the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate are pegged at 17 cents. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Zacks Rank: Vipshop Holdings carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Although the company has a favorable Zacks Rank, its 0.00% makes surprise prediction difficult.

Stocks to Consider

Stocks that have both a positive Earnings ESP and a favorable Zacks Rank, and are therefore worth considering include:

Arris International plc. ARRS, with an Earnings ESP of +1.6% and a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 (Strong Buy) Rank stocks here.

GoDaddy Inc. GDDY, with an Earnings ESP of +12.5% and a Zacks Rank #2.

CGI Group Inc. GIB, with an Earnings ESP of +1.41% and a Zacks Rank #2.

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